And dont fool yourself no amount of compelling Hillary TV ads, or outfacting him in the debates or Libertarians siphoning votes away from Trump is going to stop his mojo.
Under that scenario, Michigan and Pennsylvania, both extremely close Trump wins in 2016 would flip Democratic.
The answer to that is that he behaves differently.Of course, 2020 is several lifetimes away in political terms.The States of Change report, authored by a long list of groups including the Center for American Progress and the Bipartisan Policy Center, suggests there is a long-term structural advantage for the Democratic Party but a much more complicated short-term picture.Six hundred days after the 2016 election, many US voters remain deeply skeptical of, if not hostile to, political polling.They did so just because they could.Remember back hollinger metal edge discount code in the 90s when the people of Minnesota elected a professional wrestler as their governor?You really look at the places that are growing demographically kind of in the Democrats gift by diamonds international direction, he said, and its Arizona and Georgia and North Carolina and Florida that show more potential to be states where you could also change the map for the future.Democrats won black voters by 88 points in 2012.
You can unsubscribe at any time.And there is no doubt in my mind that if people could vote from their couch at home on their X-box or PlayStation, Hillary would win in a landslide.If those trends grew in 2020, and Trump performs five points better with white non-college-educated voters while also doing five points worse with white voters who hold a college degree, the report finds the net result would look a lot like 2016.Turnout among that group of voters dropped by more than 4 points nationally in 2016, according to the report.And that will put him over the top.And if we dont have a nominee from the Midwest, our candidate has to basically take up residence in the Midwest.This is how it will happen in November.Echoing Richardson, Rendell said, For us, there is no map that we can carry the Electoral College without Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
Just Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.